2-day Outlook — Central Pacific

Areas of disturbed weather NHC is watching for tropical development over the next 48 hours. Issued 4 times daily.

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Plain-language outlook

Two areas are being watched in the Central Pacific over the next 48 hours. One cluster of storms well southwest of the islands (near Johnston Atoll) has about a medium chance to become a tropical depression in the next couple of days and could bring heavy rain and possible flooding to that area. A second, more scattered area south-southeast of Hawaii looks less organized now and has a lower short‑term chance to develop, but if it did it could mean rain for parts of Hawaii in the next few days.

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Central Pacific

NHC text discussion

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM HST Wed Jul 15 2026

For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Elida, located several hundred miles south of the southern tip
of the Baja California Peninsula.

Well Southwest of the Hawaiian Islands (CP90):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue to develop around a
trough of low pressure located well southwest of the Hawaiian
Islands and several hundred miles south-southeast of Johnston Atoll.
Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development
of the system over the next couple of days, and it could become a
tropical depression by the end of the week as it moves slowly
northwestward toward the vicinity of Johnston Atoll.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Well South-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (CP91):
A broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles
south-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is producing limited shower
and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions continue to
become less favorable, and its chances for further development are
decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Elida are issued under WMO
header WTPZ35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP5.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Elida are issued under
WMO header WTPZ25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP5.

$$
Forecaster Katz/Papin
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