2-day Outlook — Central Pacific
Plain-language outlook
In the central Pacific, Invest 98E (a broad area of disorganized showers and storms well southwest of Baja) has about an 80% chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 48 hours as it moves west to west‑northwest. The remnants of Former TD 15‑E, well east‑southeast of Hawaii, have a much lower (about 10%) chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 48 hours as they move west.
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Central Pacific
NHC text discussion
Tropical Weather Outlook NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM HST Sat Sep 19 2026 For the central North Pacific...between 140W and 180W: Western East Pacific (EP98): A broad area of low pressure located well southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form over the next several days as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the western East Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (Former TD 15-E): Showers and thunderstorms associated with the remnants of Tropical Depression Fifteen-E, located well east of the Hawaiian Islands, remain persistent, but disorganized. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system next week as it moves westward to west-southwestward, and a tropical depression could form well to the south or southeast of the Hawaiian Islands towards the middle to latter portion of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Katz/Berg NNNN