2-day Outlook — Atlantic

Areas of disturbed weather NHC is watching for tropical development over the next 48 hours. Issued 4 times daily.

Atlantic Eastern Pacific Central Pacific Western Pacific

Plain-language outlook

The Atlantic is mostly quiet over the next 48 hours with a low chance of anything forming. Two small areas are being watched: a cluster of storms near the Cabo Verde Islands could slowly try to become a tropical depression or storm (bringing extra rain to nearby islands in a day or two), and a large area of disorganized showers in the northeastern Gulf has a low 48‑hour chance but could later spin up and bring heavy rain to parts of the U.S. Southeast.

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Atlantic

NHC text discussion

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northeastern Gulf of America:
An area of low pressure is expected to form during the weekend over 
the northeastern Gulf of America. Subsequent slow development of 
this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the 
northeastern Gulf and or near the southeastern coast of the United 
States by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave southeast 
of the Cabo Verde Islands have become a little better organized 
during the past 24 hours. Some additional slow development is 
possible over the next couple of days as the system moves generally 
west-northwestward.  After that, the system is expected to move into 
an environment that is not conducive for additional development by 
the weekend. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

$$
Forecaster Beven