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Hurricane Risk for Tampa, FL

No tropical storms currently threaten the Tampa Bay area. The next one could form quickly though — get alerts before they make the news.

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On this page
  1. By the numbers
  2. Most recent hurricane
  3. Strongest ever
  4. Closest approach
  5. When hurricanes hit
  6. Recent notable storms
  7. Preparedness

Since 1852, 203 hurricanes and tropical storms have passed within 150 miles of Tampa. Here's what you should know.

Local note: The shallow shelf and funnel shape of Tampa Bay make storm surge the single biggest threat from any westerly approach — major surge events have come from storms passing 100+ miles offshore.

By the numbers

Total storms
203
since 1852
Major (Cat 3+)
49
at closest approach
Hurricanes (Cat 1+)
120
all categories
County
Hillsborough County
Florida

Most recent hurricane

Milton (2024)

Passed within 39 miles of Tampa on October 10, 2024. Peak intensity: Cat 5 (178 mph).

Strongest hurricane ever to pass nearby

Unnamed (1935)

Reached Cat 5 (184 mph) at its peak. Passed within 46 miles of Tampa.

Closest approach ever

Unnamed (1899)

Passed just 4.3 miles from Tampa on October 05, 1899.

When hurricanes hit Tampa

Distribution across the calendar year, based on every storm in the 150-mile radius since 1852:

Jan
0
Feb
0
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
2
Jun
24
Jul
18
Aug
41
Sep
55
Oct
51
Nov
11
Dec
1

Peak months are August through October, when the Atlantic season is most active. June, July, and November are secondary risk months.

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Recent notable storms (last 20 years)

Hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 200 miles in the last 20 years — these are the ones Tampa residents likely remember:

Storm Year Peak Closest Date
Milton 2024 Cat 5 39 mi Oct 10, 2024
Debby 2024 Cat 1 103 mi Aug 05, 2024
Helene 2024 Cat 4 124 mi Sep 27, 2024
Idalia 2023 Cat 4 127 mi Aug 30, 2023
Nicole 2022 Cat 1 52 mi Nov 10, 2022
Ian 2022 Cat 5 70 mi Sep 29, 2022
Elsa 2021 Cat 1 64 mi Jul 07, 2021
Eta 2020 Cat 4 64 mi Nov 12, 2020
Sally 2020 Cat 2 108 mi Sep 13, 2020
Isaias 2020 Cat 1 169 mi Aug 03, 2020
Irma 2017 Cat 5 23 mi Sep 11, 2017
Matthew 2016 Cat 5 147 mi Oct 07, 2016
Hermine 2016 Cat 1 160 mi Sep 02, 2016
Arthur 2014 Cat 2 194 mi Jul 01, 2014
Andrea 2007 Cat 1 178 mi May 11, 2007
Ernesto 2006 Cat 1 108 mi Aug 31, 2006

Preparedness

  1. Know your zone. Tampa is in Hillsborough County — look up your evacuation zone here.
  2. Get alerts early. Sign up below — we'll notify you when storms first form in the basin, not just when they're at your doorstep.
  3. Have 3+ days of supplies. Water (1 gal/person/day), non-perishable food, medications, flashlights, batteries, cash.
  4. Have an evacuation plan. Know where you'll go, how you'll get there, what you'll bring.
  5. Follow official orders. If your zone is told to evacuate, leave. Don't wait.