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Hurricane Risk for Sarasota, FL

No tropical storms currently threaten the Sarasota area. The next one could form quickly though — get alerts before they make the news.

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On this page
  1. By the numbers
  2. Most recent hurricane
  3. Strongest ever
  4. Closest approach
  5. When hurricanes hit
  6. Recent notable storms
  7. Preparedness

Since 1852, 204 hurricanes and tropical storms have passed within 150 miles of Sarasota. Here's what you should know.

Local note: Sarasota’s position on Florida’s Gulf coast and its low-lying barrier islands make storm surge the dominant threat, with catastrophic surge and wind impacts underscored by Hurricane Ian (2022) and the nearby Cat 5 approach of Milton (2024).

By the numbers

Total storms
204
since 1852
Major (Cat 3+)
50
at closest approach
Hurricanes (Cat 1+)
122
all categories
County
Sarasota County
Florida

Most recent hurricane

Milton (2024)

Passed within 6 miles of Sarasota on October 10, 2024. Peak intensity: Cat 5 (178 mph).

Strongest hurricane ever to pass nearby

Unnamed (1935)

Reached Cat 5 (184 mph) at its peak. Passed within 23 miles of Sarasota.

Closest approach ever

Keith (1988)

Passed just 4.5 miles from Sarasota on November 23, 1988.

When hurricanes hit Sarasota

Distribution across the calendar year, based on every storm in the 150-mile radius since 1852:

Jan
0
Feb
1
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
3
Jun
23
Jul
17
Aug
43
Sep
56
Oct
49
Nov
11
Dec
1

Peak months are August through October, when the Atlantic season is most active. June, July, and November are secondary risk months.

Prep your supplies before the storm is named

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Recent notable storms (last 20 years)

Hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 200 miles in the last 20 years — these are the ones Sarasota residents likely remember:

Storm Year Peak Closest Date
Milton 2024 Cat 5 6 mi Oct 10, 2024
Debby 2024 Cat 1 108 mi Aug 04, 2024
Helene 2024 Cat 4 143 mi Sep 27, 2024
Idalia 2023 Cat 4 136 mi Aug 30, 2023
Ian 2022 Cat 5 48 mi Sep 28, 2022
Nicole 2022 Cat 1 74 mi Nov 10, 2022
Elsa 2021 Cat 1 65 mi Jul 07, 2021
Eta 2020 Cat 4 71 mi Nov 12, 2020
Sally 2020 Cat 2 74 mi Sep 13, 2020
Isaias 2020 Cat 1 180 mi Aug 02, 2020
Irma 2017 Cat 5 63 mi Sep 11, 2017
Matthew 2016 Cat 5 174 mi Oct 07, 2016
Hermine 2016 Cat 1 180 mi Sep 02, 2016
Arthur 2014 Cat 2 200 mi Jul 01, 2014
Isaac 2012 Cat 1 174 mi Aug 27, 2012
Ernesto 2006 Cat 1 103 mi Aug 30, 2006

Preparedness

  1. Know your zone. Sarasota is in Sarasota County — look up your evacuation zone here.
  2. Get alerts early. Sign up below — we'll notify you when storms first form in the basin, not just when they're at your doorstep.
  3. Have 3+ days of supplies. Water (1 gal/person/day), non-perishable food, medications, flashlights, batteries, cash.
  4. Have an evacuation plan. Know where you'll go, how you'll get there, what you'll bring.
  5. Follow official orders. If your zone is told to evacuate, leave. Don't wait.