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Hurricane Risk for Gainesville, FL

No tropical storms currently threaten the Gainesville area. The next one could form quickly though — get alerts before they make the news.

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On this page
  1. By the numbers
  2. Most recent hurricane
  3. Strongest ever
  4. Closest approach
  5. When hurricanes hit
  6. Recent notable storms
  7. Preparedness

Since 1852, 218 hurricanes and tropical storms have passed within 150 miles of Gainesville. Here's what you should know.

Local note: Well inland from the Gulf, Gainesville is far more threatened by extreme rainfall and inland freshwater flooding from slow-moving tropical systems than by storm surge, with recent catastrophic inland impacts from storms like Ian (2022) and Idalia (2023) producing heavy rain and river flooding across the region.

By the numbers

Total storms
218
since 1852
Major (Cat 3+)
48
at closest approach
Hurricanes (Cat 1+)
129
all categories
County
Alachua County
Florida

Most recent hurricane

Debby (2024)

Passed within 66 miles of Gainesville on August 05, 2024. Peak intensity: Cat 1 (80 mph).

Strongest hurricane ever to pass nearby

Unnamed (1935)

Reached Cat 5 (184 mph) at its peak. Passed within 66 miles of Gainesville.

Closest approach ever

Unnamed (1964)

Passed just 3.2 miles from Gainesville on June 06, 1964.

When hurricanes hit Gainesville

Distribution across the calendar year, based on every storm in the 150-mile radius since 1852:

Jan
0
Feb
0
Mar
0
Apr
0
May
6
Jun
27
Jul
15
Aug
42
Sep
62
Oct
55
Nov
10
Dec
1

Peak months are August through October, when the Atlantic season is most active. June, July, and November are secondary risk months.

Prep your supplies before the storm is named

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Recent notable storms (last 20 years)

Hurricanes (Cat 1+) within 200 miles in the last 20 years — these are the ones Gainesville residents likely remember:

Storm Year Peak Closest Date
Debby 2024 Cat 1 66 mi Aug 05, 2024
Helene 2024 Cat 4 87 mi Sep 27, 2024
Milton 2024 Cat 5 123 mi Oct 10, 2024
Idalia 2023 Cat 4 75 mi Aug 30, 2023
Nicole 2022 Cat 1 52 mi Nov 10, 2022
Ian 2022 Cat 5 134 mi Sep 29, 2022
Elsa 2021 Cat 1 72 mi Jul 07, 2021
Eta 2020 Cat 4 12 mi Nov 12, 2020
Isaias 2020 Cat 1 142 mi Aug 03, 2020
Dorian 2019 Cat 5 160 mi Sep 04, 2019
Michael 2018 Cat 5 183 mi Oct 11, 2018
Irma 2017 Cat 5 24 mi Sep 11, 2017
Matthew 2016 Cat 5 97 mi Oct 07, 2016
Hermine 2016 Cat 1 111 mi Sep 02, 2016
Arthur 2014 Cat 2 189 mi Jul 03, 2014
Andrea 2007 Cat 1 148 mi May 10, 2007
Ernesto 2006 Cat 1 116 mi Aug 31, 2006

Preparedness

  1. Know your zone. Gainesville is in Alachua County — look up your evacuation zone here.
  2. Get alerts early. Sign up below — we'll notify you when storms first form in the basin, not just when they're at your doorstep.
  3. Have 3+ days of supplies. Water (1 gal/person/day), non-perishable food, medications, flashlights, batteries, cash.
  4. Have an evacuation plan. Know where you'll go, how you'll get there, what you'll bring.
  5. Follow official orders. If your zone is told to evacuate, leave. Don't wait.